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| The Motion of the NBA Ocean By: Keith Dobkowski, Senior Sports News Writer Due to a combination of the salary cap, opt out clauses, maximum contracts and player-coach disputes; the NBA is strutting into the most exciting off-season in recent memory. Add the implosion the Los Angeles Lakers followed by the resignation of Phil Jackson and even a lackluster draft cannot limit this off-season. A list of names that includes Shaquille O’Neal, Kobe Bryant, Tracy Mcgrady, Allen Iverson, Steve Francis, and many more will change addresses this summer. Topping the sports talk radio and televisions shows is the rumored trade of Tracy Mcgrady from the Orlando Magic to the Houston Rockets for Steve Francis and Cutino Mobley. Mcgrady has not directly requested a trade, but stated that if the Magic did not greatly improve from last years 20 win season, Mcgrady would opt out of his contract next summer. A combination of fear and injury lead the Magic to this trade decision. Only a few years back, Shaq opted out of his contract and headed west to Los Angeles while the Magic received nothing in exchange. The Lakers went on to win three championships and the Magic have not been back to the finals since Shaq’s departure. As the Magic tried to resurrect, they signed both Grant Hill and Tracy Mcgrady. Hill’s contract and ankle have hamstrung the Magic and not allowed them to create a supporting cast around the leagues best scorer, Mcgrady. Mcgrady rumors have also included him heading to the Sonics for Ray Allen, going to the Pacers for Al Harrington, Jonathan Bender and Jeff Foster or headed to the Suns for Shawn Marion and others. While Houston appears to be Mcgrady’s destination, the other names show the motion that may be the NBA’s ocean. Finally, Francis is in the position because of his refusal to follow Coach Jeff Van Gundy’s directions to feed Yao and feed him early and often. Francis has signed a maximum contract, as has Mcgrady, meaning that to move that much money under the salary cap, a max player must be traded for a max player. To understand this “motion of the NBA Ocean” an indebt look at the NBA salary cap is necessary. The NBA operates under a salary cap where each team is limited in the amount they can spend on players. The cap is a soft in nature allowing teams to sign their own players to contracts above the salary cap line. The league taxes any money spent over the cap line and the revenue made is then dispersed equally amongst the teams under the cap. For instance, if the Lakers were to keep this season’s team together, they could resign Kobe Bryant to the maximum contract and not worry about the salary cap outside of paying the tax. However, in regards to trades, salaries must match for the trade to go through unless a team has room under the cap with which to move. Remember, a team may only resign their own players when breaking the salary cap. Thus when the Magic trade Mcgrady and his $14 million per year salary, the Magic must receive $14 million worth of players in return. Thus, when the Magic are looking to trade their highest paid player, they must look only at teams that have a player who is making similar money. When the trade does go through, we will see a handful of other players involved for the sole purpose of equaling contract dollars on both sides. Under the common sense theory, meaning do not look to the Warriors or Clippers for answers, the players making the most money are the best players and therefore can only be traded for another teams best player. Recent memory shows Gary Payton traded for Ray Allen and Stephon Marbury traded for Jason Kidd. With that said, a look at the other names available and why is necessary. As the Lakers lost to the Pistons last week, the destruction of Lakers occurred even faster than that of the Bulls after their sixth championship. Karl Malone opted out of his contract, and Kobe stated that he would opt out of his. Shaq called for a trade and Phil Jackson is now headed back to Montana to find his inner Zen. Of major note is obviously Kobe and Shaq. Kobe, while facing rape charges in Colorado, will know where he is going and for how much before he knows the verdict. However, Kobe’s finances will be greatly affected by his signing. If he stays with the Lakers, he is eligible for nearly $20 million a year, as opposed to $14 million a year if he signs with another team. Rumored suitors include the Lakers, Clippers, Suns and Knicks. Shaq demanded a trade as soon as Phil Jackson announced his separation from the Lakers. Shaq called the team selfish and told the media that this was not the team he joined many years ago. Shaq’s suitors look to be the Knicks, Clippers, Magic, and a rumored trade sending the Mavericks Dirk Nowitzki to the Lakers. However, Shaq has two years and over $50 million left on his current contract meaning that he will be near impossible to move. Allen Iverson has butted heads with every coach and still fails to see the importance of practice. Regardless, AI puts fans in the seats and will be a welcome addition somewhere as Philadelphia tries to start anew. However, AI has five years left on his contract and has taken more hard hits then most players. It is iffy as to whether AI will move, but look to Atlanta or Chicago as possible suitors. A few other predictions sees Eric Dampier opting out of his contract with the Warriors and signing with the Grizzlies (Jerry West like Damp), going to the Eastern Division where he would be dominant center (which has less to do Dampier and more to do with the division) or seeing Damp join the T-Wolves as they try to grow their front line. Steve Nash will most likely return to Mavs unless the trade for Shaq goes through. Other suitors include the Suns and Raptors. And while Antawn Jamison, Antwan Walker, Alan Houston and Shawn Marion may be on the move, it is Vince Carter who should be watched closely. He would be a perfect fit on the Spurs who have the cap room to do it. Overall, this will be the most exciting off-season in recent history. Furthermore, while some may disagree with the cap, the side effect of great off-season moves will keep the NBA in the press long after the finals end. |
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